Schwaz vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
WAT
5 - 1
SCH
75%
16%
10%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SCR
3 - 0
SCH
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SCH
3 - 3
SEE
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
KUF
3 - 0
SCH
40%
23%
37%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 2
STJ
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 1
USC
65%
19%
17%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 2
SVA
16%
20%
64%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TSV
4 - 0
HAR
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
WAT
3 - 2
HAR
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 3
SCR
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |