Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Speldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SPR
2 - 4
SWE
13%
21%
67%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
HAM
0 - 1
SWE
33%
25%
43%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SWE
2 - 0
SCH
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
KÖL
2 - 0
SWE
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
SWE
0 - 1
ABI
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Speldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SPE
1 - 0
ESS
32%
25%
43%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
SPE
1 - 2
SCH
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
KLE
1 - 3
SPE
66%
20%
15%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SPE
0 - 3
VEL
42%
25%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
WHE
3 - 0
SPE
66%
20%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |