DFB Pokal . 1/16
Global 5-4
Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Preußen Münster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
22.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1976 |
WUP
2 - 2
SWE
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1975 |
SWE
1 - 0
BVB
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
AAA
2 - 1
SWE
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1975 |
PRE
2 - 2
SWE
58%
19%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1975 |
SWE
4 - 1
FCM
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1976 |
DJK
0 - 1
PRE
33%
24%
43%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1975 |
PRE
2 - 1
KÖL
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1975 |
PRE
2 - 2
SWE
58%
19%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1975 |
PRE
2 - 1
WAT
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1975 |
BVB
1 - 0
PRE
63%
20%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |