Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Gutersloh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
VIK
0 - 3
SWE
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
SWE
4 - 0
WHE
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
LSV
4 - 1
SWE
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
SWE
3 - 0
NEU
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
HAM
0 - 0
SWE
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Gutersloh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
GUT
1 - 2
WAT
56%
25%
19%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
ERK
4 - 2
GUT
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
GUT
2 - 1
BSC
69%
21%
10%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
F95
2 - 1
GUT
82%
12%
5%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
GUT
3 - 2
KÖL
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |