Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ABI
2 - 1
SWE
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
SPO
2 - 1
SWE
22%
24%
54%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MSV
1 - 3
SWE
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
WIE
1 - 0
SWE
40%
25%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SWE
1 - 0
ESS
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
KÖL
1 - 1
ESS
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
KLE
0 - 0
KÖL
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
KÖL
1 - 2
VEL
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
WHE
3 - 0
KÖL
37%
25%
39%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
KÖL
1 - 3
WAT
74%
17%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |