Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1976 |
FCM
3 - 1
SWE
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1976 |
SWE
2 - 2
WUP
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1976 |
TEN
4 - 1
SWE
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
SWE
3 - 1
WAB
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
SWE
2 - 2
ARB
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1976 |
AAA
2 - 1
LEV
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1976 |
STP
1 - 1
AAA
79%
15%
7%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1976 |
AAA
1 - 2
PRE
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
USO
1 - 1
AAA
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
ERK
2 - 0
AAA
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |