Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
F95
3 - 0
SWE
74%
14%
11%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
SWE
3 - 1
SVS
71%
17%
13%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
MON
0 - 3
SWE
72%
16%
13%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 1961 |
SWE
1 - 1
S04
43%
24%
34%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1961 |
BVB
2 - 1
SWE
81%
12%
8%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
BVB
4 - 1
AAA
82%
11%
8%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
AAA
2 - 4
KOL
45%
23%
33%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
SVS
1 - 2
AAA
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1961 |
AAA
1 - 2
F95
61%
19%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1961 |
ROT
1 - 1
AAA
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |