Oberliga Bayern South Round 4

Schwabmünchen vs Bogen analysis

Schwabmünchen Bogen
26 ELO 29
-14% Tilt -11.7%
10768º General ELO ranking 13717º
513º Country ELO ranking 600º
ELO win probability
41.9%
Schwabmünchen
23.8%
Draw
34.3%
Bogen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
Schwabmünchen
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.3%
Win probability
Bogen
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Schwabmünchen
+6%
+8%
Bogen

ELO progression

Schwabmünchen
Bogen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Schwabmünchen
Schwabmünchen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jul. 2015
VRG
VfR Garching
4 - 1
Schwabmünchen
SCH
67%
19%
15%
28 36 8 0
22 Jul. 2015
SCH
Schwabmünchen
1 - 0
Dachau
DAC
38%
24%
38%
27 29 2 +1
18 Jul. 2015
LAN
Landsberg
2 - 0
Schwabmünchen
SCH
42%
24%
35%
29 25 4 -2
23 May. 2015
SCH
Schwabmünchen
1 - 0
FC Pipinsried
FCP
21%
22%
57%
27 39 12 +2
16 May. 2015
DJK
DJK Rosenheim
0 - 3
Schwabmünchen
SCH
47%
25%
28%
26 25 1 +1

Matches

Bogen
Bogen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jul. 2015
BOG
Bogen
2 - 1
Ruhmannsfelden
RUH
86%
10%
4%
28 9 19 0
22 Jul. 2015
VRG
VfR Garching
4 - 1
Bogen
BOG
62%
20%
18%
29 35 6 -1
18 Jul. 2015
BOG
Bogen
1 - 1
Pullach
PUL
28%
24%
48%
28 37 9 +1
16 May. 2015
WOL
Wolfratshausen
1 - 3
Bogen
BOG
51%
22%
27%
27 27 0 +1
09 May. 2015
BOG
Bogen
0 - 1
Vilzing
VIL
44%
23%
33%
28 29 1 -1