Oberliga Niederrhein Round 21

Schonnebeck vs Homberg analysis

Schonnebeck Homberg
41 ELO 32
0.2% Tilt -4.2%
2565º General ELO ranking 3517º
113º Country ELO ranking 155º
ELO win probability
65.8%
Schonnebeck
17.5%
Draw
16.7%
Homberg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
Schonnebeck
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
16.7%
Win probability
Homberg
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Schonnebeck
+15%
-11%
Homberg

ELO progression

Schonnebeck
Homberg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Schonnebeck
Schonnebeck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2017
DUS
Turu 1880 Dusseldorf
1 - 2
Schonnebeck
SCH
23%
22%
55%
39 30 9 0
16 Dec. 2016
GRA
Germania Ratingen
6 - 3
Schonnebeck
SCH
32%
23%
45%
41 34 7 -2
11 Dec. 2016
SCH
Schonnebeck
3 - 1
Cronenberger
CRO
80%
13%
8%
41 24 17 0
04 Dec. 2016
SCH
Schonnebeck
4 - 0
Kapellen-Erft
KAP
74%
15%
11%
41 29 12 0
27 Nov. 2016
VEL
Velbert
0 - 1
Schonnebeck
SCH
53%
24%
23%
40 43 3 +1

Matches

Homberg
Homberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2017
VFB
Homberg
1 - 0
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
SWE
73%
16%
11%
32 22 10 0
22 Feb. 2017
SPE
Speldorf
2 - 2
Homberg
VFB
43%
22%
35%
32 29 3 0
18 Dec. 2016
VFB
Homberg
1 - 1
Hilden
HIL
47%
23%
30%
32 32 0 0
11 Dec. 2016
DUS
Düsseldorf-West
2 - 2
Homberg
VFB
45%
22%
34%
32 32 0 0
04 Dec. 2016
MEE
Meerbusch
1 - 2
Homberg
VFB
29%
21%
50%
31 25 6 +1