Schonnebeck vs Meerbusch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
12.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
2º
8º
3º
34
5º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 38.5% |
|
Promotion
|
57.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 61.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schonnebeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SON
2 - 3
SCH
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 0
NET
62%
19%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
HIL
2 - 5
SCH
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +3 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
KLE
1 - 0
SCH
19%
20%
61%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SCH
5 - 3
TEU
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Meerbusch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MEE
0 - 1
GRA
21%
22%
57%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
MEE
40%
22%
39%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MEE
0 - 2
SWE
30%
22%
49%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DJK
5 - 2
MEE
22%
20%
59%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MEE
2 - 0
SFB
20%
19%
61%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +5 |