Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PAD
1 - 5
S04
21%
21%
58%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
S04
2 - 4
VIK
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
S04
3 - 0
HER
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
S04
0 - 3
BYM
7%
13%
80%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
MON
0 - 0
S04
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
M05
2 - 1
HER
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
BYM
6 - 1
M05
86%
10%
4%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
M05
1 - 3
MON
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
SCF
3 - 0
M05
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
KAI
2 - 0
M05
11%
18%
72%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |