Europa League . 1/32
Global 9-1
Schalke 04 vs Liepājas Metalurgs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
WOL
3 - 0
S04
36%
26%
38%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
S04
0 - 2
ROS
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
SLI
0 - 1
S04
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
HER
0 - 2
S04
14%
22%
64%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
S04
2 - 1
KAI
56%
23%
22%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Liepājas Metalurgs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
FCS
2 - 1
LIE
51%
22%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
LIE
2 - 1
FKR
86%
10%
4%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
LIE
1 - 1
OIF
77%
14%
9%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
FCS
1 - 2
LIE
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
OIF
2 - 2
LIE
27%
23%
50%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |