Schalke 04 vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
BYM
2 - 1
S04
66%
20%
15%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
S04
4 - 1
HSV
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
RTV
1 - 2
S04
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
S04
2 - 2
HAN
53%
24%
22%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
EIN
3 - 0
S04
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
LEV
6 - 0
KAI
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
MON
0 - 0
LEV
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
LEV
4 - 1
HER
58%
22%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
ROS
0 - 2
LEV
30%
26%
44%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
LEV
4 - 2
WOL
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |