Schalke 04 vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
EIN
2 - 2
S04
28%
24%
49%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
S04
3 - 2
AUG
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
S04
42%
24%
34%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
S04
2 - 2
KOL
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
BVB
4 - 4
S04
59%
21%
20%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
KOL
1 - 0
WOL
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
BYM
1 - 0
KOL
85%
11%
4%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
KOL
3 - 4
SCF
35%
25%
39%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
CRV
1 - 0
KOL
46%
22%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
S04
2 - 2
KOL
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |