Progresso vs Real Forte Querceta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
38.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LEN
1 - 1
PRO
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 1
GHI
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
RIM
1 - 0
PRO
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 1
COR
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
SER
1 - 2
PRO
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Forte Querceta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
USR
0 - 0
COR
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FIO
2 - 1
USR
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
USR
0 - 0
SER
34%
25%
40%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 2
USR
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
USR
1 - 0
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |