Progresso vs Marignanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
24.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 1
PRO
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 2
ACP
26%
21%
53%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 0
PRO
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 1
USR
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LEN
1 - 1
PRO
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Marignanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
COR
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
FIO
4 - 2
MAR
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
SER
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 0
MAR
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
RIM
2 - 2
MAR
74%
16%
11%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |