Progresso vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
76.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 1
FOR
27%
26%
48%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
BSD
1 - 1
PRO
31%
23%
45%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 1
USR
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
RAV
5 - 0
PRO
73%
18%
9%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 0
PRO
22%
22%
57%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
VCB
2 - 3
PIA
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PIA
1 - 0
VIC
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 1
PIA
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PIA
1 - 0
PRO
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 1
PIA
44%
26%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |