Progresso vs Lentigione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
61.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
GHI
0 - 0
PRO
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 3
RIM
22%
22%
56%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
FIO
4 - 0
PRO
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
PRO
3 - 3
SAM
31%
24%
46%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
COR
1 - 0
PRO
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lentigione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
LEN
0 - 1
FIO
40%
28%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 0
LEN
44%
27%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
LEN
3 - 1
COR
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
LEN
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
LEN
3 - 0
SER
58%
22%
19%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |