Progresso vs Lentigione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
55%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 1
PRO
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAL
23%
21%
56%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
BRE
4 - 0
PRO
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 3
PSM
26%
22%
51%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SAV
0 - 2
PRO
69%
17%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lentigione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
LEN
1 - 0
MEZ
47%
26%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CRE
0 - 4
LEN
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
LEN
2 - 3
FAN
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 2
LEN
80%
14%
5%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
LEN
1 - 1
FOR
42%
26%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |