Progresso vs Fiorenzuola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
54.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
-68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MEZ
0 - 0
PRO
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 1
CRE
28%
22%
51%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
FAN
2 - 1
PRO
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 2
MAN
8%
16%
76%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
PRO
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CRE
0 - 1
FIO
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
FIO
2 - 1
ADR
40%
23%
37%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 3
FIO
81%
14%
6%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
FIO
2 - 4
MEZ
59%
22%
18%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 2
FIO
20%
23%
57%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |