Progresso vs Crema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
50.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
FAN
2 - 1
PRO
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 2
MAN
8%
16%
76%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
PRO
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
PRO
3 - 2
ASD
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
USD
1 - 1
PRO
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MEZ
1 - 1
CRE
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CRE
1 - 2
ADR
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FAN
2 - 1
CRE
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CRE
2 - 2
MAN
11%
20%
70%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
CRE
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |