Progresso vs Sasso Marconi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
USD
1 - 1
PRO
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
PRO
0 - 1
LEN
23%
22%
55%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 1
PRO
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAL
23%
21%
56%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
BRE
4 - 0
PRO
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sasso Marconi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 2
MEZ
32%
25%
44%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CRE
2 - 2
ASD
64%
20%
17%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 0
FAN
19%
20%
61%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
5 - 1
ASD
87%
10%
3%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
ASD
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |