Scanzorosciate vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scanzorosciate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CIS
0 - 0
SCA
47%
23%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
SCA
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +3 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SCA
3 - 0
VER
47%
24%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SCA
0 - 1
DES
60%
21%
20%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
SCA
2 - 1
ACA
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 4
OLG
22%
25%
53%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
PRO
34%
26%
40%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
PSM
25%
24%
51%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ASS
2 - 3
CAR
81%
14%
6%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
PER
29%
28%
43%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |