Woezik vs LONGA '30 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
18.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Woezik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BEM
2 - 3
WOE
29%
22%
50%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
WOE
2 - 1
SCN
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GER
1 - 2
WOE
26%
22%
52%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
WOE
1 - 0
DEZ
75%
14%
10%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ORI
3 - 0
WOE
29%
22%
49%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
LONGA '30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LON
3 - 1
SCN
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ORI
1 - 0
LON
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LON
6 - 3
TVC
79%
13%
9%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
DEZ
1 - 3
LON
31%
21%
48%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
WSV
0 - 2
LON
15%
19%
66%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |