Woezik vs Baronie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Woezik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
GOE
4 - 1
WOE
54%
20%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
WOE
0 - 3
GRO
51%
21%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
WOE
1 - 3
MEE
60%
19%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
DBI
2 - 0
WOE
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
DIE
1 - 4
WOE
10%
16%
74%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
OSS
1 - 1
BAR
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
4 - 3
JUL
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
HAL
3 - 0
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
GRO
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 4
BRA
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |