SC Villa vs Lugazi Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
NEC
2 - 1
SCV
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SCV
6 - 1
WAK
63%
20%
16%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
EXP
1 - 0
SCV
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
SCV
5 - 0
UPD
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
SCV
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lugazi Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 1
KCC
19%
21%
60%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
UGA
0 - 0
LUG
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
WAK
0 - 0
LUG
78%
13%
8%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 0
NEC
14%
18%
68%
|
12 | 41 | 29 | +6 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
EXP
0 - 1
LUG
77%
15%
9%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | +1 |