Oberliga Bayernliga Round 17

SC 04 Schwabach vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis

SC 04 Schwabach Bayreuth SpVgg
37 ELO 38
12% Tilt -0.2%
10444º General ELO ranking 2241º
497º Country ELO ranking 95º
ELO win probability
49.1%
SC 04 Schwabach
23.8%
Draw
27.1%
Bayreuth SpVgg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
SC 04 Schwabach
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.1%
Win probability
Bayreuth SpVgg
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SC 04 Schwabach
-1%
-10%
Bayreuth SpVgg

ELO progression

SC 04 Schwabach
Bayreuth SpVgg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC 04 Schwabach
SC 04 Schwabach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2003
WUR
Würzburger FV
3 - 2
SC 04 Schwabach
SCS
47%
24%
29%
38 33 5 0
18 Oct. 2003
SCS
SC 04 Schwabach
2 - 0
Memmingen
MEM
52%
23%
25%
37 36 1 +1
11 Oct. 2003
GRO
Grossbardorf
0 - 1
SC 04 Schwabach
SCS
43%
24%
33%
37 32 5 0
03 Oct. 2003
SCS
SC 04 Schwabach
0 - 1
TSV Aindling
TSV
56%
22%
22%
37 35 2 0
26 Sep. 2003
186
1860 München II
2 - 2
SC 04 Schwabach
SCS
68%
19%
13%
37 47 10 0

Matches

Bayreuth SpVgg
Bayreuth SpVgg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2003
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
2 - 0
Nürnberg II
NUR
38%
26%
36%
36 42 6 0
18 Oct. 2003
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
5 - 0
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
52%
23%
26%
38 39 1 -2
11 Oct. 2003
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
3 - 0
Weiden
WEI
49%
25%
27%
36 38 2 +2
04 Oct. 2003
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
0 - 0
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
56%
22%
22%
36 39 3 0
27 Sep. 2003
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
0 - 0
Fürstenfeldbruck
FUR
56%
22%
22%
36 37 1 0