Penedense vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
75.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
IGA
0 - 3
PEN
21%
20%
60%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
CRB
2 - 2
PEN
90%
9%
2%
|
42 | 84 | 42 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PEN
0 - 0
COR
46%
23%
31%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ASA
1 - 1
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
CSE
1 - 2
PEN
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
CEA
1 - 0
CSA
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CSA
0 - 0
ASA
71%
18%
10%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
COR
1 - 1
CSA
8%
19%
73%
|
74 | 39 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CRB
2 - 3
CSA
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
CSA
2 - 1
CON
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |