Penedense vs Coruripe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 2
PEN
65%
21%
14%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 1
CEO
28%
24%
48%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CSA
4 - 0
PEN
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 4
CSE
25%
27%
48%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CSE
2 - 2
PEN
69%
19%
13%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Coruripe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
COR
1 - 5
CRB
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
3 - 0
COR
81%
14%
4%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ASA
2 - 0
COR
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
COR
0 - 1
PAL
14%
22%
64%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
COR
2 - 0
CEO
70%
17%
13%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |