SC Paivense vs Sernancelhe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Paivense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
OFR
1 - 1
SCP
75%
15%
9%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SCP
6 - 0
LAM
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 0
SCP
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SCP
1 - 2
SAT
35%
24%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LAM
0 - 0
SCP
31%
23%
46%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sernancelhe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TAR
4 - 1
SER
81%
13%
6%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SER
2 - 2
SAT
10%
17%
73%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
RES
2 - 1
SER
87%
10%
4%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SER
2 - 2
NEL
25%
22%
54%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SER
0 - 3
SAM
11%
18%
72%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |