Ortmann vs Gaflenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
63.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
KOT
2 - 0
SCO
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
SCO
1 - 1
KRE
16%
20%
64%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
LEO
2 - 0
SCO
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
SCH
3 - 0
SCO
37%
25%
38%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
SCO
1 - 4
ASV
29%
24%
47%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
GAF
2 - 2
SCH
80%
14%
7%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
ASV
0 - 3
GAF
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
GAF
2 - 1
SVH
82%
13%
6%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
SCR
1 - 2
GAF
65%
19%
15%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
GAF
2 - 1
GOT
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |