SC NEC vs AWC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC NEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BEE
2 - 1
SCN
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TZA
4 - 1
SCN
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SCN
3 - 0
GOE
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SCN
1 - 4
TIL
61%
19%
21%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NEM
0 - 2
SCN
54%
24%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AWC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
AWC
0 - 4
GOE
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BEE
3 - 0
AWC
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
AWC
2 - 2
HVC
16%
21%
64%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
AWC
3 - 1
TOP
41%
23%
37%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 1
AWC
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |