SC NEC vs Alverna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC NEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SCN
1 - 1
RRH
75%
14%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
NEM
0 - 4
SCN
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SCN
1 - 1
TOP
55%
20%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
BRA
0 - 4
SCN
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SCN
1 - 2
ERP
79%
12%
9%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ALV
4 - 0
RRH
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
WOE
0 - 0
ALV
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALV
1 - 2
NEM
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ALV
4 - 1
RKV
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 3
ALV
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |