Mils vs SPG Sprutz / Serfaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
31%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
SCM
0 - 0
SCM
49%
21%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SCM
4 - 2
STJ
67%
17%
16%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
EBB
2 - 2
SCM
41%
21%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
TEL
4 - 2
SCM
76%
13%
10%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
KUN
4 - 2
SCM
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SPG Sprutz / Serfaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
SPG
3 - 1
ZIR
47%
21%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
SCM
4 - 0
SPG
39%
22%
39%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |