Mils vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.9%
14.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
15º
8º
27
4º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
KEM
5 - 1
SCM
44%
21%
36%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SCM
4 - 3
STJ
64%
17%
19%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
VOL
2 - 0
SCM
57%
19%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SCM
4 - 1
WIN
12%
18%
70%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SVI
3 - 0
SCM
15%
16%
69%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
5 - 6
KIR
53%
20%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
KIR
1 - 1
KEM
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
STJ
5 - 2
KIR
55%
21%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
KIR
2 - 0
VOL
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +3 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
WIN
1 - 1
KIR
81%
14%
5%
|
16 | 62 | 46 | +1 |