Mils vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
ZIR
4 - 1
SCM
64%
17%
18%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
KEM
0 - 6
SCM
53%
20%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
SCM
4 - 3
FUG
43%
22%
35%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
EBB
1 - 0
SCM
45%
21%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
SCM
6 - 3
FCS
84%
11%
6%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
KIR
1 - 4
MOT
44%
21%
35%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
UNI
3 - 2
KIR
10%
15%
76%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
KIR
1 - 2
FCK
65%
17%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
VOL
4 - 2
KIR
16%
18%
65%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
KIR
3 - 3
FCV
79%
13%
9%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |