Mils vs Natters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.3%
13.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
15º
8º
32
5º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SPG
5 - 0
SCM
33%
21%
46%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SCM
4 - 3
IAC
47%
21%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SCM
2 - 3
SCM
16%
17%
67%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SCM
3 - 2
EBB
43%
22%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SCM
8 - 2
UNI
52%
20%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Natters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 1
KIR
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
KEM
3 - 2
FCK
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
SVI
0 - 2
FCK
42%
22%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FCK
2 - 1
STJ
44%
23%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VOL
2 - 2
FCK
80%
13%
8%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |