Jaraguá vs Atletico Itajai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
52.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-85%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
JAR
0 - 1
GOI
16%
22%
62%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
IMB
3 - 0
JAR
53%
22%
26%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
APA
1 - 0
JAR
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
JAR
2 - 1
AEE
38%
23%
39%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
JAR
0 - 6
CAC
36%
23%
41%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Itajai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
CAI
1 - 1
SCA
55%
21%
25%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ATB
0 - 3
CAI
11%
15%
74%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
CAI
22%
21%
58%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAI
1 - 2
CFC
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CAI
6 - 0
JAR
42%
23%
36%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +2 |