Jaraguá vs Aparecida GO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
69.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
JAT
2 - 0
JAR
70%
18%
12%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
JAR
0 - 2
JAT
13%
17%
71%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
APA
1 - 0
JAR
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
JAR
0 - 3
AEE
16%
18%
65%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
JAR
0 - 1
COE
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecida GO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
APA
0 - 2
GIO
27%
21%
51%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GIO
1 - 0
APA
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
APA
1 - 0
JAR
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
APA
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
APA
1 - 0
ANA
23%
21%
57%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +3 |