SC Guaraní vs UCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
URE
2 - 1
SCG
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SCG
1 - 1
ATL
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 1
SCG
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 0
SCG
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 2
POR
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
UCV
1 - 2
POR
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CDS
3 - 0
UCV
50%
24%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
UCV
0 - 1
ANG
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
LOT
5 - 1
UCV
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
UCV
1 - 2
GUA
31%
25%
43%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -2 |