SC Guaraní vs Arroceros de Calabozo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
SCG
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SCG
3 - 0
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 2
SCG
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 3
SCG
58%
22%
21%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SCG
1 - 1
DEP
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arroceros de Calabozo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ARR
0 - 2
DEP
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ARR
2 - 1
POR
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
EST
1 - 3
ARR
18%
21%
62%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ARR
1 - 0
ARA
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
ARR
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |