Fussach vs Egg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
61.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fussach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
FRB
1 - 6
SCF
63%
19%
18%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
SCF
0 - 3
BLA
28%
23%
48%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
AUS
0 - 2
SCF
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
SCF
0 - 1
ROT
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
NEN
4 - 0
SCF
70%
16%
14%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Egg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
EGG
2 - 4
WOL
38%
24%
39%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
BIZ
0 - 4
EGG
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
EGG
3 - 4
LAU
68%
17%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ROT
2 - 0
EGG
41%
24%
36%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
EGG
3 - 1
ADM
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |