Oberliga Northeast-South Round 23

SC Freital vs VfB Krieschow analysis

SC Freital VfB Krieschow
35 ELO 38
-11.6% Tilt -9.4%
5967º General ELO ranking 4457º
298º Country ELO ranking 200º
ELO win probability
24.7%
SC Freital
20.4%
Draw
54.9%
VfB Krieschow

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
SC Freital
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
54.8%
Win probability
VfB Krieschow
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SC Freital
+62%
+90%
VfB Krieschow

Points and table prediction

SC Freital
Their league position
VfB Krieschow
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
14º
46
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
VFC Plauen
70
70
0%
Bischofswerdaer
70
70
0%
Germania Halberstadt
60
60
100%
Magdeburg II
55
55
100%
Auerbach
55
55
100%
VfB Krieschow
46
46
100%
Union Sandersdorf
42
42
100%
SC Freital
40
40
100%
Einheit Wernigerode
36
36
100%
Budissa Bautzen
10º
35
35
10º
100%
Einheit Rudolstadt
11º
34
34
11º
100%
FC Grimma
12º
32
32
12º
100%
Ludwigsfelder FC
13º
31
31
13º
100%
VfL Halle
14º
30
30
14º
100%
FSV Motor Marienberg
15º
22
22
15º
100%
SV 09 Arnstadt
16º
21
21
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
SC Freital
VfB Krieschow
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

SC Freital
VfB Krieschow
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC Freital
SC Freital
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2024
LFC
Ludwigsfelder FC
1 - 1
SC Freital
SCF
48%
23%
29%
32 35 3 0
16 Mar. 2024
SCF
SC Freital
0 - 4
VFC Plauen
PLA
25%
21%
54%
34 43 9 -2
10 Mar. 2024
EWD
Einheit Wernigerode
2 - 0
SC Freital
SCF
45%
21%
33%
35 30 5 -1
02 Mar. 2024
SCF
SC Freital
2 - 0
FC Grimma
SVG
64%
19%
17%
34 24 10 +1
24 Feb. 2024
GER
Germania Halberstadt
1 - 1
SC Freital
SCF
69%
16%
15%
34 42 8 0

Matches

VfB Krieschow
VfB Krieschow
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2024
VFB
VfB Krieschow
0 - 1
Bischofswerdaer
BIS
30%
24%
46%
41 48 7 0
16 Mar. 2024
UNI
Union Sandersdorf
1 - 0
VfB Krieschow
VFB
27%
22%
52%
41 36 5 0
09 Mar. 2024
VFB
VfB Krieschow
2 - 3
Auerbach
AUE
67%
17%
15%
41 36 5 0
03 Mar. 2024
VFL
VfL Halle
1 - 1
VfB Krieschow
VFB
14%
17%
70%
41 26 15 0
24 Feb. 2024
VFB
VfB Krieschow
4 - 1
FSV Motor Marienberg
FSV
80%
12%
8%
41 24 17 0