SC Freital vs VfB Krieschow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
54.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
+90%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
7º
14º
8º
46
2º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 1
SCF
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 4
PLA
25%
21%
54%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
EWD
2 - 0
SCF
45%
21%
33%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SCF
2 - 0
SVG
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
GER
1 - 1
SCF
69%
16%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Krieschow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
VFB
0 - 1
BIS
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
VFB
27%
22%
52%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VFB
2 - 3
AUE
67%
17%
15%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VFL
1 - 1
VFB
14%
17%
70%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VFB
4 - 1
FSV
80%
12%
8%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |