SC Freiburg vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
SCF
0 - 1
MAL
40%
27%
34%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
SCF
0 - 0
STP
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
SCF
1 - 2
SVS
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
SCF
0 - 1
SPA
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
SCF
2 - 1
FRE
88%
10%
3%
|
84 | 37 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
FCN
2 - 2
CEL
23%
26%
51%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
FCN
3 - 1
WUR
72%
19%
9%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FCN
2 - 1
VFR
51%
27%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MUN
2 - 1
FCN
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FCN
3 - 1
EBT
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |