SC Ell vs Bastendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
46.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Ell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MAM
4 - 1
ELL
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ELL
1 - 3
WIN
39%
25%
37%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ELL
0 - 4
KEH
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -3 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
JEU
3 - 0
ELL
48%
24%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ELL
2 - 1
FCA
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 2
KEH
55%
22%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
JEU
2 - 1
BAS
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCA
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
JGI
1 - 3
BAS
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
BAS
5 - 0
LOR
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |