SC Duffel vs Ternesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
78.3%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
11.2%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
6.1%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VOS
1 - 1
TER
29%
22%
49%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TER
1 - 0
BED
13%
20%
68%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | +4 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TER
4 - 0
MAR
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TIS
1 - 3
TER
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TER
2 - 3
GBA
23%
21%
56%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |