Austria Lustenau vs Horn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
SCA
1 - 1
LAS
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
FLC
1 - 6
SCA
13%
20%
67%
|
64 | 24 | 40 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
SCA
1 - 1
WIL
38%
24%
38%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
FCL
1 - 1
SCA
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
SCA
2 - 0
SKA
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
FCL
1 - 0
SVH
67%
19%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
FCM
1 - 3
SVH
9%
16%
76%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
GRO
3 - 2
SVH
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2016 |
OLP
4 - 1
SVH
87%
9%
4%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
SVH
5 - 1
STP
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |