Austria Lustenau vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
SCA
2 - 4
KAP
45%
26%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
SVH
0 - 2
SCA
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
VIE
0 - 2
SCA
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
SCA
1 - 1
SKN
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 1
SCA
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
STR
0 - 2
AWM
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
RAP
2 - 2
STR
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GRO
0 - 1
STR
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
STR
1 - 0
WIN
56%
23%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
STR
3 - 0
WIE
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |