Savona vs Novese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
SAV
1 - 0
USR
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
LAV
0 - 1
SAV
31%
26%
44%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
SCC
1 - 0
SAV
17%
23%
60%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SAV
0 - 0
CUN
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CAS
2 - 0
SAV
38%
27%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
SPE
2 - 1
NOV
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 59 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
NOV
0 - 1
DER
43%
25%
32%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
LAV
2 - 0
NOV
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
SCC
3 - 2
NOV
32%
25%
43%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
NOV
2 - 2
CUN
19%
23%
58%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +1 |