Savoia 1908 vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Savoia 1908
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
LRO
2 - 1
FCS
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
FCS
0 - 0
MAT
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FCS
1 - 0
CIT
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
DTO
2 - 2
FCS
20%
24%
56%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FCS
7 - 2
LIC
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
ASM
3 - 0
VIG
51%
26%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SOR
3 - 1
ASM
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 0
ISC
27%
27%
45%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
ASM
57%
24%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ASM
47%
25%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |